CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2019-05-11T02:39:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2019-05-11T02:39ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/14737/-1
CME Note: The source of this signature is somewhat unclear. It could be associated with the arrival of a combination of 2 CMEs that started on 2019-05-10T19:09Z and 2019-05-11T02:39Z. From Dr. Lan Jian: The flux ropes separated by sharp boundaries could be due to the interaction of multiple CMEs. From the in-situ observations and Enlil modeling results, Earth was in the rarefaction before the CME arrived, this may be why the CMEs reached Earth so fast.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2019-05-13T22:06Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 7.0
Predicted Arrival Time: 2019-05-15T07:00Z
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)
Prediction Method Note:
KSWC ENLIL settings: ENLIL version: 2.7e Resolution: low (256x30x90) Ambient settings: a5b1 WSA version: 2.2 CME input parameters Time at 21.5Rs boundary: Radial velocity (km/s):400 Longitude (deg):W04 Latitude (deg):N02 Half-angular width (deg):29 Notes:Lead Time: 44.18 hour(s)
Difference: -32.90 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by RWC Jeju (KSWC) on 2019-05-12T01:55Z
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